Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000546 0.000591 0.000639 0.000691 0.000748 0.000807 0.000875
2026-01-25 0.000479 0.000543 0.000611 0.000691 0.000781 0.000880 0.000996
2026-02-01 0.000424 0.000498 0.000580 0.000680 0.000796 0.000928 0.001090
2026-02-08 0.000383 0.000463 0.000555 0.000670 0.000809 0.000972 0.001177
2026-02-15 0.000350 0.000434 0.000535 0.000663 0.000822 0.001013 0.001261
2026-02-22 0.000322 0.000410 0.000516 0.000655 0.000832 0.001050 0.001339
2026-03-01 0.000299 0.000389 0.000500 0.000649 0.000842 0.001085 0.001415
2026-03-08 0.000277 0.000367 0.000481 0.000637 0.000843 0.001109 0.001476
2026-03-15 0.000258 0.000348 0.000465 0.000627 0.000847 0.001133 0.001538
2026-03-22 0.000239 0.000328 0.000446 0.000612 0.000840 0.001144 0.001580
2026-03-29 0.000224 0.000313 0.000432 0.000602 0.000841 0.001165 0.001637
2026-04-05 0.000213 0.000303 0.000425 0.000602 0.000854 0.001201 0.001716
2026-04-12 0.000203 0.000294 0.000419 0.000604 0.000873 0.001249 0.001817
2026-04-19 0.000192 0.000283 0.000411 0.000603 0.000886 0.001289 0.001909
2026-04-26 0.000180 0.000269 0.000397 0.000592 0.000885 0.001310 0.001974
2026-05-03 0.000169 0.000257 0.000385 0.000584 0.000887 0.001333 0.002043
2026-05-10 0.000160 0.000247 0.000375 0.000577 0.000891 0.001359 0.002117
2026-05-17 0.000151 0.000237 0.000365 0.000571 0.000895 0.001386 0.002191
2026-05-24 0.000143 0.000228 0.000356 0.000565 0.000898 0.001411 0.002266
2026-05-31 0.000135 0.000218 0.000345 0.000555 0.000895 0.001425 0.002322
2026-06-07 0.000128 0.000209 0.000335 0.000547 0.000893 0.001443 0.002384
2026-06-14 0.000120 0.000198 0.000322 0.000533 0.000883 0.001444 0.002419
2026-06-21 0.000113 0.000190 0.000313 0.000525 0.000881 0.001459 0.002478